Monday, November 18, 2013

Tat Hong : Recovery to take time (DBSV)

Tat Hong
HOLD S$0.915
STI : 3,166.74
Price Target : 12-month S$ 1.01 (Prev S$1.00)

• 2Q14 results were in line; Australian operations, crane utilisation and margins remained weak
• Australia operations may take time to recover
• Interim DPS of 1 Sct declared
• Maintain HOLD with TP of S$1.01

Highlights
2Q14 results in line. 2Q14 earnings were in line with our estimates. Revenue declined 14% to S$185m while earnings dropped 53% to S$8.2m, largely due to weak Australian operations (-27% y-o-y), fleet utilisation (68%), and margins. Crane rental revenue decreased 14% and contributing to the decrease were continued weakness in Australia’s mining and infrastructure activities and the completion of one key rental contract in Malaysia.


Weak crane rental demand led to lower margins. Gross margins remained below FY13’s average of 37.6% at 36.8%, due to lower crane rental gross margins of 52% (vs FY13’s 60%) on weak crane rental demand. 1H14 earnings now account for 40% of our full year estimate. Management declared interim DPS of 1 Sct, in line with our expectations.

Land restructuring. While we await recovery from the Australian operations, TAT is restructuring its land use in Singapore and Malaysia. TAT has announced that it will sell its land in Iskandar for RM41m to its 25% owned JV company. As a result, TAT will recognise a non-core income gain of S$14m in 3Q14. TAT will also be consolidating some of its Singapore operations to Tuas in the future which could result in land sales in Singapore going forward.

Our View
Recovery in Australia could take time. We believe recovery of TAT’s Australian operations will take time. While some projects are progressing, general infrastructure spending and demand for natural resources need to pick up before capital spending and equipment rental can recover. We therefore factor a mild recovery in our earnings estimates and look forward to signs of recovery in Australia.

Recommendation
Maintain HOLD, TP largely unchanged at S$1.01. As we factor in 2Q14 results, our TP is largely unchanged at S$1.01 based on12x blended FY14F/FY15F EPS. Maintain HOLD.




Source/Extract/Excerpts/来源/转贴/摘录: DBSV-Research,
Publish date: 14/11/13

No comments:

Post a Comment

Warren E. Buffett(沃伦•巴菲特)
Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful
别人贪婪时我恐惧, 别人恐惧时我贪婪
投资只需学好两门课: 一,是如何给企业估值,二,是如何看待股市波动
吉姆·罗杰斯(Jim Rogers)
“错过时机”胜于“搞错对象”:不会全军覆没!”
做自己熟悉的事,等到发现大好机会才投钱下去

乔治·索罗斯(George Soros)

“犯错误并没有什么好羞耻的,只有知错不改才是耻辱。”

如果操作过量,即使对市场判断正确,仍会一败涂地。

李驰(中国巴菲特)
高估期间, 卖对, 不卖也对, 买是错的。
低估期间, 买对, 不买也是对, 卖是错的。

Tan Teng Boo


There’s no such thing as defensive stocks.Every stock can be defensive depending on what price you pay for it and what value you get,
冷眼(冯时能)投资概念
“买股票就是买公司的股份,买股份就是与陌生人合股做生意”。
合股做生意,则公司股份的业绩高于一切,而股票的价值决定于盈利。
价值是本,价格是末,故公司比股市重要百倍。
曹仁超-香港股神/港股明灯
1.有智慧,不如趁势
2.止损不止盈
成功者所以成功,是因为不怕失败!失败者所以失败,是失败后不再尝试!
曾淵滄-散户明灯
每逢灾难就是机会,而是在灾难发生时贱价买股票,然后放在一边,耐性地等灾难结束
  • Selected Indexes 52 week range

  • Margin of Safety

    Investment Clock

    World's First Interactive Investment Clock