Sunday, November 10, 2013

JIM ROGERS: Charging Back Into China Shares

JIM ROGERS: Charging Back Into China Shares
Written by Andrew Vanburen (China Correspondent)
Wednesday, 06 November 2013 07:00

US INVESTOR JIM ROGERS, who currently calls Singapore home, has made a move into Hong Kong-listed China plays with a particular interest in agricultural resources.

He's calling it the first buying opportunity he’s seen there in five years.



The 71-year-old has a long history of interest in commodities investing, having founded the Rogers International Commodity Index 15 years ago, and is an outspoken promoter of investing in agriculture in particular.

After having said that he would only get back into the China market after a major fall in stock prices for PRC-based listcos, apparently the time has now arrived.

With the quarterly reporting season in full swing, the Baltimore-born bourse baron is particularly keen on environmental and agricultural-based themes in China this time around.

Mr. Rogers’ sudden resurgence of interest in the sectors coincides with a flurry of recent reports from leading brokerages touting the investment benefits for various Hong Kong listcos.

Diversified power firm and clean coal consumer Huadian Power (HK: 1071) recently received upbeat reports from Goldman, UBS and Credit Suisse while Credit Suisse is also bullish on China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd (HK: 1117).

The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI), a.k.a. the H-Shares Index, which is composed of the largest PRC-based enterprises with H-share listings in Hong Kong and contains the resource stocks currently attracting Mr. Rogers’ attention, is expected to see its average P/E ratio rise 1.54% over the next 12 months to 7.6 times.

Meanwhile, the broader benchmark index in Hong Kong – the Hang Seng Composite – is forecast to see its average P/E ratio slip 0.19% over the next 12 months to 10.7 times.

The main reason for the better expected performance for the HSCEI is primarily due to stronger forecasts for resource shares.

Like other mega-successful investors, Mr. Rogers is not jumping onto the wagon mid-journey but said earlier this week at an investment seminar in the PRC that he began shifting his portfolio to resource-based H-shares as early as August, adding that he wasn’t done buying into the sectors.

“This is the first opportunity I’ve seen here in five years,” he said at the seminar.

He said one of the keys to success in resource investing is keeping a close eye on any changes in government policy because regulations can shift overnight and Beijing is also able to suddenly pump big money into areas it picks and chooses via subsidies or outright investments.

The American added that a quick look up at the skies in many of China’s biggest cities – the capital Beijing in particular – told him that clean energy resources and environmental themes were winning bets right now, and he expected investment in these areas to jump by 25% over the next half decade.

“There are some untapped investment opportunities within companies that want to help solve or ease China’s growing pollution problems,” the renowned investor said, without mentioning any of his recent picks by name.

And with China’s growing middle class, ongoing urbanization and increasing environmental risks to its core food supplies, Rogers’ interest in investing in the world’s biggest country’s environmental and agricultural resources became all the more explicable.

He added that the new Chinese leadership’s repeated support for the country’s agricultural sector was another reason to be keen on farming resource investments.

“Agriculture will be the best investment theme in the coming decades,” Rogers said.

He also said he was steering clear of Chinese property because of overheating and he wasn’t too interested in gold even if prices plummeted.



Source/Extract/Excerpts/来源/转贴/摘录: http://www.nextinsight.net/
Publish date: 06/11/13

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Warren E. Buffett(沃伦•巴菲特)
Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful
别人贪婪时我恐惧, 别人恐惧时我贪婪
投资只需学好两门课: 一,是如何给企业估值,二,是如何看待股市波动
吉姆·罗杰斯(Jim Rogers)
“错过时机”胜于“搞错对象”:不会全军覆没!”
做自己熟悉的事,等到发现大好机会才投钱下去

乔治·索罗斯(George Soros)

“犯错误并没有什么好羞耻的,只有知错不改才是耻辱。”

如果操作过量,即使对市场判断正确,仍会一败涂地。

李驰(中国巴菲特)
高估期间, 卖对, 不卖也对, 买是错的。
低估期间, 买对, 不买也是对, 卖是错的。

Tan Teng Boo


There’s no such thing as defensive stocks.Every stock can be defensive depending on what price you pay for it and what value you get,
冷眼(冯时能)投资概念
“买股票就是买公司的股份,买股份就是与陌生人合股做生意”。
合股做生意,则公司股份的业绩高于一切,而股票的价值决定于盈利。
价值是本,价格是末,故公司比股市重要百倍。
曹仁超-香港股神/港股明灯
1.有智慧,不如趁势
2.止损不止盈
成功者所以成功,是因为不怕失败!失败者所以失败,是失败后不再尝试!
曾淵滄-散户明灯
每逢灾难就是机会,而是在灾难发生时贱价买股票,然后放在一边,耐性地等灾难结束
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