Wednesday, August 7, 2013

Riverstone : Expect 3Q to be Equally Positive (SIAS)

Riverstone Holdings Limited
Invest
Expect 3Q to be Equally Positive
 Intrinsic Value S$0.680
 Prev Closing S$0.630

 Riverstone posted outstanding 2Q FY13 results with revenue and PAT rising 15.5% and 31.2% YoY to RM90.4m and RM14.4m respectively. Both figures formed 48.5% and 59.2% of our previous forecasts. This set of results was backed by several favorable industry factors, namely continuous decline in raw material prices and favorable exchange rate between April and June 2013. We expect the former to sustain and contribute a healthy gross margin for Riverstone. For the latter, the US$/RM rate climbed from 3.08 around April 2013 to around 3.15 in July 2013. It is now hovering at approximately 3.23, suggesting more forex gain for this quarter. 3Q results are likely to be pleasant.


On the CAPEX front, the company has begun construction on their new site at Taiping (which was purchased in April 2013 for about RM12m) and will commence its first phase of operation in mid-2014. We have adjusted our FY13F gross profit and PAT upward and assumed some expansion estimates into our FY14 and FY15F. Maintain Invest with an intrinsic value of S$0.680.

Results Summary: 2Q revenue continued to climb as Riverstone managed to fully deploy all the new capacities that were installed in late 2012 and utilization rate remained high for the period. Together with lower raw material prices, gross profit increased 42.5% YoY to RM24.1m. Selling and distribution expenses grew 30.5% YoY for the period while general and administrative expenses grew 27.7% YoY - lower than that of gross profit. There was also RM1m forex gain. Consequently, PBT rose 48.3% YoY to RM18.1m.

Cash equivalents for the period remained relatively unchanged as the RM11.8m cash flow from operating activities and RM9.1m proceed from warrants conversion were mitigated by RM7.1m purchase of PPE and RM13.9m dividend distribution. 61.9m warrants were issued on 5 Aug 2010 and will expire on 2 Aug 2013. A total of 61.7m warrants were converted prior the expiry and increased the number of shares outstanding to 371.2m. Riverstone recommended a dividend of 2.3 RM cents for the interim period, 0.1RM cent more than the corresponding period.



Source/Extract/Excerpts/来源/转贴/摘录: SIAS-Research,
Publish date: 05/08/13

No comments:

Post a Comment

Warren E. Buffett(沃伦•巴菲特)
Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful
别人贪婪时我恐惧, 别人恐惧时我贪婪
投资只需学好两门课: 一,是如何给企业估值,二,是如何看待股市波动
吉姆·罗杰斯(Jim Rogers)
“错过时机”胜于“搞错对象”:不会全军覆没!”
做自己熟悉的事,等到发现大好机会才投钱下去

乔治·索罗斯(George Soros)

“犯错误并没有什么好羞耻的,只有知错不改才是耻辱。”

如果操作过量,即使对市场判断正确,仍会一败涂地。

李驰(中国巴菲特)
高估期间, 卖对, 不卖也对, 买是错的。
低估期间, 买对, 不买也是对, 卖是错的。

Tan Teng Boo


There’s no such thing as defensive stocks.Every stock can be defensive depending on what price you pay for it and what value you get,
冷眼(冯时能)投资概念
“买股票就是买公司的股份,买股份就是与陌生人合股做生意”。
合股做生意,则公司股份的业绩高于一切,而股票的价值决定于盈利。
价值是本,价格是末,故公司比股市重要百倍。
曹仁超-香港股神/港股明灯
1.有智慧,不如趁势
2.止损不止盈
成功者所以成功,是因为不怕失败!失败者所以失败,是失败后不再尝试!
曾淵滄-散户明灯
每逢灾难就是机会,而是在灾难发生时贱价买股票,然后放在一边,耐性地等灾难结束
  • Selected Indexes 52 week range

  • Margin of Safety

    Investment Clock

    World's First Interactive Investment Clock